Will the high temperature in San Antonio b…27%−34Will the high temperature in Seattle be 72…26%−32Will the high temperature in Oklahoma City…35%+28Northwestern wins 1H by over 2.5 points56%+16Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets NHL: Boston…33%−15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 2…68%+15Over 37.5 1H points scored71%+14Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech: Virginia Tech…71%−12Will the high temperature in New York City…27%+7Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points46%−6Will the United States acquire any part of…22%+3Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Pre…44%−1

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Lead market● KalshisportsJust movedPNN MODEL 56%MARKET 62%Live on PNN 7:44PM ET

Virginia Tech Favored at 71% Over Pittsburgh in NCAA Football Market

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech: Virginia Tech to win?

Yes — implied

71%

1 hour−12 pts24 hour+15 pts

What changed

Over the past 24 hours, the probability climbed 15 points, suggesting a notable shift in market sentiment toward Virginia Tech. In the last hour, however, it has moved 12 points lower, partially reversing that move.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be official pregame injury designations, any lineup announcements from either coaching staff, and early game-day conditions. Kickoff itself will be the definitive resolution event for this market.

Volume

$4.3M

Closes in

1d 22h

View market on Kalshi

Sports

5 markets

sportsKalshi

Penn State Spread Market Drifts Lower Ahead of Northwestern Kickoff

Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points

Live on PNN 7:04AM ET

46%

−6 pts

What changed

The YES probability has moved 6 points lower over the past hour and 8 points lower over the past 24 hours, reflecting a gradual drift away from Penn State covering.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be official depth chart or injury designations from either program, pregame weather updates, and early game-flow once kickoff begins Sunday.

1d 23h$1.3MView on Kalshi

sportsKalshi

Over 37.5 1H points scored

71%

+14 pts

Market action

Repriced 14 points higher in the last hour on $96K traded.

1d 22h$96KView on Kalshi

Weather

5 markets

weatherPolymarket

Paris High Temp Market Climbs to 68% Ahead of Saturday Reading

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3?

68%

+15 pts

What changed

Over the past hour, the market-implied probability moved 15 points higher, bringing YES from roughly 53% to 68%. No movement was recorded over the prior 24-hour window before that shift.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be overnight and early-morning temperature readings at Paris-Le Bourget, updated NWP model runs, and the first NOAA data point published for October 3rd, which would trigger resolution.

11h 29m$5KView on Polymarket

weatherKalshi

NYC High Temp: Will It Hit 81–82°F Today?

Will the high temperature in New York City be 81-82° on Oct 2, 2026?

Live on PNN 2:55PM ET

27%

+7 pts

What changed

Over the past hour, the YES probability moved 7 points higher. No net change was recorded over the prior 24-hour period.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be afternoon temperature readings from Central Park's official NWS station, which would confirm whether the day's high is tracking toward, above, or below the 81–82°F target range.

4h 29m$23KView on Kalshi

Politics

2 markets

politicsKalshi

Vance 2028 GOP Nomination Market Sits at 45%

Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Live on PNN 7:41AM ET

44%

−1 pts

What changed

The probability has ticked up one point in the past hour while holding flat over the prior 24-hour window. No dramatic directional move is apparent at this time.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be any public statements from Vance regarding 2028 ambitions, shifts in Republican primary polling, or the emergence of competing declared candidates that could redistribute market probability.

766d 14h$4.6MView on Kalshi

politicsKalshi

Texas Senate 2027: Paxton Market Sits at 37% YES

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?

Live on PNN 7:17AM ET

38%

flat

What changed

The probability edged one point lower in the past hour and has held flat over the past 24 hours. Volume exceeds $9.9 million, reflecting substantial trader attention to this contest.

What to watch

The next catalysts may include primary results, Paxton's legal standing, Democratic candidate announcements, and polling from Texas entering 2027. National party recruitment and fundraising figures could also shift this market.

396d 14h$10.0MView on Kalshi

Culture

1 markets

cultureKalshi

The Odyssey at 48% for Best Picture

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Live on PNN 7:30AM ET

47%

−1 pts

What changed

Probability has edged up 1 point in the past hour but sits 2 points lower over the past 24 hours — modest, gradual movement with no dramatic shift in either direction.

What to watch

The next catalysts may be major film festival appearances, critics-circle announcements, and guild award nominations — particularly from the Producers Guild — as the awards calendar progresses toward early 2027.

454d 14h$1.9MView on Kalshi

Economy

1 markets

economyKalshi

Bitcoin Six-Figure Question: Will BTC Cross $100K Before Year-End?

Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Live on PNN 10:16AM ET

40%

flat

What changed

The market has moved 3 percentage points higher over the past 24 hours. Hourly movement is flat. Volume stands above $1.5 million, suggesting meaningful participation, while Bitcoin itself is trading roughly 50% below its all-time high.

What to watch

The next catalysts may be U.S. inflation and employment data releases, Federal Reserve communications, Bitcoin on-chain activity metrics, ETF flow reports, and any regulatory developments in major markets through December.

90d 04h$1.5MView on Kalshi

Other

1 markets

otherKalshi

Greenland Acquisition Market Sits at 22% With Modest Upward Drift

Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029?

22%

+3 pts

What changed

The market has moved 3 points higher in the past hour and 1 point higher over the past 24 hours — a modest upward drift, not a dramatic move. Volume stands above $2.9 million, indicating sustained trader engagement.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be official statements from U.S. or Danish leadership, any formal diplomatic overtures regarding Greenlandic autonomy, or shifts in Greenlandic public sentiment ahead of potential self-determination discussions.

841d 14h$2.9MView on Kalshi

Lead market · 71% yesPittsburgh vs Virginia Tech: Virginia Tech to win?View on Kalshi